Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.178712 0.201535 0.225595 0.252795 0.282632 0.314310 0.350429
2025-05-18 0.151934 0.183345 0.218260 0.259753 0.307517 0.360571 0.423743
2025-05-25 0.127897 0.163938 0.205912 0.257993 0.320438 0.392448 0.481281
2025-06-01 0.110045 0.149023 0.196364 0.257388 0.333195 0.423463 0.538193
2025-06-08 0.095741 0.136456 0.187858 0.256447 0.344391 0.452111 0.592622
2025-06-15 0.086708 0.129402 0.185194 0.261939 0.363076 0.489987 0.659214
2025-06-22 0.077209 0.120542 0.179098 0.262026 0.374182 0.518146 0.714070
2025-06-29 0.069082 0.112621 0.173364 0.261773 0.384259 0.544787 0.767352
2025-07-06 0.062112 0.105575 0.168088 0.261456 0.393758 0.570525 0.819827
2025-07-13 0.057012 0.100748 0.165453 0.264404 0.407505 0.602035 0.880591
2025-07-20 0.053587 0.098128 0.165730 0.271331 0.426848 0.641511 0.953031
2025-07-27 0.049231 0.093558 0.162645 0.272941 0.438396 0.670326 1.011445
2025-08-03 0.045900 0.090493 0.161828 0.278153 0.455785 0.708491 1.084938
2025-08-10 0.043413 0.088606 0.162683 0.285873 0.477094 0.752825 1.168355
2025-08-17 0.039257 0.083366 0.157699 0.284076 0.483863 0.776288 1.222645
2025-08-24 0.035767 0.078947 0.153690 0.283480 0.492250 0.802160 1.280901
2025-08-31 0.032571 0.074723 0.149651 0.282493 0.499811 0.826839 1.337876
2025-09-07 0.030802 0.073049 0.149862 0.288456 0.518416 0.868422 1.420614
2025-09-14 0.028302 0.069652 0.146748 0.288559 0.527522 0.895742 1.482697
2025-09-21 0.025984 0.066369 0.143566 0.288291 0.535878 0.921992 1.543652
2025-09-28 0.023872 0.063275 0.140482 0.287951 0.543976 0.947917 1.604579
2025-10-05 0.022379 0.061355 0.139454 0.291144 0.557978 0.983333 1.680712
2025-10-12 0.021497 0.060703 0.140804 0.298641 0.579430 1.030980 1.776677